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COVID Ended a Decade-long Economic Expansion in North Carolina. Now What?

Examining the pandemic fallout and looking toward the future. By Jessica WilkinsonEconomic Development Manager, NCGrowth 2020 brought an end to North Carolina’s decade-long economic expansion that...

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The “Global-K” Recovery

The 2020 U.S. economic downturn fueled by the COVID-19 pandemic generated both big losers (such as restaurants and the hospitality sector) and big winners (such as high tech and online retail),...

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U.S. Employment: Labor Shortage or Post-pandemic Labor Pains?

The current narrative around the U.S. labor market is a mixed bag. On the one hand, many companies are struggling to find enough workers to return to a semblance of normal operations. On the other, 8...

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Five Economic Challenges in 2022

As we begin the new year, we wanted to highlight five topics, beyond the impact of COVID-19 and related uncertainties, that we believe businesspeople and policy makers will be grappling with in 2022....

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Is Inflation Transitory or Long-Lived?

Inflation hit its highest level in almost forty-years, with overall prices up 7% in 2021. Is this a transitory increase as a result of COVID-driven demand and supply shortages, with inflation likely...

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Climate mitigation is an imperative, but it’s not part of the Fed mandate....

As part of President Joe Biden’s efforts to refocus the Federal Reserve Board, the Senate conducted confirmation hearings for several nominees this past week.  While these hearings traditionally raise...

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Should we worry about a wage-price spiral?

The jumps in the inflation rate over the last few months have been larger and longer-lasting than expected.  For much of 2022 economic forecasters, including those at the Federal Reserve, assumed that...

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Can the West Sustain Sanctions Against Russia?

Together with many business and economic leaders around the globe, we at the Kenan Institute of Private Enterprise support the harshest feasible sanctions against Vladimir Putin in the immediate...

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Inflation: The Worst Is Yet to Come

Inflation hit a 40-year high of 7.8% in February. We estimate energy prices will raise inflation by another percentage point in March. If sustained, the runup in gas prices will take a $100...

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The World Has Changed

Out of the rubble of World War II, we collectively and deliberately built an institutional order that established norms of acceptable behavior and placed constraints on powerful nations.  While work...

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